Fractal-Volume Cycle Oscillator (FVCO) Trend-Regime System
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Equities, Forex, Synthetic Indices (Boom/Crash) · Timeframes: H1, H4
Thesis
The strategy assumes that institutional trends are characterized by a synchronized expansion of price-volume (PVT), velocity (MOM), and macro-channel breakouts (L'mas). By waiting for a structural fractal breach, we enter only when local resistance is cleared, using Ehlers' cycle analysis (DSP) to capture the meat of the move while avoiding the late-stage 'hook' common in standard trend-following systems.
Components
- MA Channel Band (L'mas System) (regime) — Established the primary trend regime by requiring both price and a faster MA to vacate a long-term volatility corridor, reducing whipsaws.
- Price and Volume Trend (PVT) (direction) — Confirms that the price breakout is supported by cumulative volume flow, preventing participation in low-liquidity spikes.
- Support and Resistance (Fractal-based) (entry) — Identifies concrete structural breakout levels based on localized price exhaustion (Bill Williams Fractals).
- Ehlers Detrended Synthetic Price (DSP) (exit) — Identifies cycle exhaustion to provide an early exit before the primary trend fully reverses.
- Price Line and Visible Range High-Low (risk) — Provides the stop-loss anchor based on the most recent visible extreme on the chart.
- Momentum (MOM) (confirmation) — Ensures that the velocity of the move is positive (for longs) or negative (for shorts) at the moment of entry.
- GOM KOLA SIDO — Full Integration (volatility_filter) — Acts as a multi-layered filter ensuring price is above/below the Supertrend and not currently trapped in a KOLA pivot touch zone.
Known failure conditions
- Price and Volume Trend (PVT) diverges significantly from price for more than 20 bars during a trend.
- Fractal resistance/support levels are breached and immediately re-entered more than 3 times in a row (choppy regime).
- The Visible Range High-Low distance exceeds 5% of the asset price (volatility too high for sizing).
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