Gann-VWAP Velocity Hybrid
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: Equities, Futures (Indices), Forex (Intraday) · Timeframes: M5, M15, H1
Thesis
Trend-following systems often fail by 'buying the top' of a momentum burst. This strategy assumes that market participants revert to a daily Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) even within a strong trend. By using the Gann HiLo and UTBot to identify direction, and only entering when price is on the 'favorable' side of VWAP (discount for longs, premium for shorts) while REI confirms price velocity, we can capture high-probability trend continuations with superior trade location.
Components
- HiLo_04 (Gann HiLo Activator) (regime) — Provides the macro-regime filter; ensures we are only trading in the direction of the sustained trend to avoid counter-trend trap entries.
- UTBot Alerts (direction) — Generates the primary directional trigger based on ATR-trailing stops, effectively acting as a volatility-adjusted trend momentum signal.
- Daily Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) (entry) — Filters entries based on intraday value; ensures we are buying below VWAP or selling above it for better trade location within an established trend.
- RSI Area (Histogram) (exit) — Used to identify momentum exhaustion and over-extensions for profit-taking when the trend reaches a temporary peak.
- Equity Line Projection (risk) — Used as a dynamic risk management interface to set stop-losses based on projected account drawdown levels and trade-specific price targets.
- Range Expansion Index (REI) (confirmation) — Filters out 'fake' momentum in ranging markets by ensuring price velocity meets DeMark's expansion criteria before an entry is confirmed.
Known failure conditions
- Extended periods of low-volatility 'compression' where ATR-based stops (UTBot) are frequently triggered while VWAP remains flat.
- Frequent daily gaps on market opens that invalidate the cumulative intraday VWAP calculation logic.
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