Geometric Structure Momentum Hybrid
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: FX, Equities, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1
Thesis
Trend persistence is most likely when structural pivots (ZigZag), volatility expansion (Bollinger), and momentum (CCI/MACD) align simultaneously. By using the Andrews Pitchfork as a structural boundary for risk, the strategy captures 'in-channel' trend extensions while exiting early via the HiLo Activator when the trend's immediate velocity decays. Strategy edge is derived from filtering out low-momentum moves and placing stops at geometric invalidation points rather than fixed price points.
Components
- ZigZag (regime) — Used to identify the 'Global Bias' based only on the most recently confirmed (non-moving) swing high/low to establish a trend-following context.
- Commodity Channel Index (CCI) (direction) — Filters out weak trend environments; requires momentum to be established above/below zero before an entry is considered.
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) (entry) — The MACD signal line crossover provides the precise timing trigger once the regime and direction are aligned.
- HiLo Activator (Gann Style) (exit) — Provides a dynamic, trailing exit point that adapts to trend strength based on recent high/low averages.
- Auto Pitchfork (risk) — The lower parallel (for longs) or upper parallel (for shorts) defines the structural invalidation point and determines position sizing.
- Bollinger Bands (Standard) (volatility_filter) — Ensures trades are only taken when volatility is sufficient (price outside SMA) and prevents entries during low-volatility 'squeezes'.
Known failure conditions
- ZigZag pivots fail to form for extended periods (ranging markets), leading to stale regime bias.
- Price frequently touches Pitchfork parallels and HiLo levels in high-noise environments, causing repeated stop-outs.
- MACD signal crosses occur consistently outside of Bollinger Band expansion zones.
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