Global Drift MACD Volatility Squeeze
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: FX, Equities, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1
Thesis
Financial assets with a proven historical drift (measured by lifetime candle counts) are more likely to continue in that direction when momentum (MACD) and volatility (Trendilo) align. Entering on Bollinger Band mean-reversion points within this larger trend captures 'pullback' energy while SuperTrend and Chandelier Exits protect against momentum exhaustion.
Components
- Candle Count History (regime) — Establishing global bias; if BullCounter > BearCounter over the entire history, the asset has a structural upward drift (common in equities).
- MACD Classic (direction) — Confirms secondary momentum direction to ensure we are trading with the intermediate trend.
- Bollinger Bands (entry) — Entries are triggered by mean-reversion impulses (touching the opposite band) within the confirmed trend.
- SuperTrend (exit) — Acts as a trailing profit-taking mechanism that adapts to trend strength.
- Chandelier Exit Heiken Ashi Variant (risk) — Provides a tight volatility-adjusted stop loss based on smoothed Heiken Ashi extremes.
- Trendilo MT5 (volatility_filter) — Filters out low-volatility 'noise' by requiring the Trendilo oscillator to cross above its offset bandwidth.
Known failure conditions
- Successive losses during a regime where candle count bias and MACD alignment flip frequently.
- Asset volatility drops below the Trendilo threshold for extended periods rendering signals non-existent.
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