KOLA-MESA Roofing Cycle Hybrid
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Synthetic Indices, Forex, Equities · Timeframes: H1, M15
Thesis
The strategy assumes that institutional 'flow' (KOLA) and volume-backed momentum (Force Index) create tradable trends, while the noise in these trends is cyclical. By applying Ehlers' roofing filters to a stochastic oscillator, we can isolate the underlying cycle and enter when it realigns with the primary trend, using News filtering to avoid exogenous volatility shocks that break mathematical cycles.
Components
- GOM KOLA SIDO — Full Integration (regime) — Determines the primary trend via Supertrend and market structure via KOLA pivot levels to ensure trades are aligned with institutional flow.
- Force Index (NNFX Variant) (direction) — Confirms the regime bias with volume-weighted momentum, ensuring price movements are supported by market activity.
- Ehlers MESA Stochastic (MSTOCH) (entry) — Filters out trend noise using a roofing filter to identify cycle turning points for precise entry timing.
- Donchian Channels (exit) — Provides a trailing stop mechanism based on volatility-adjusted price extremes (Turtle style).
- FakeCandle (risk) — Standardizes price representation for stop-loss calculation and position sizing within the NNFX-inspired framework.
- News Indicator NMNNFX (volatility_filter) — Prevents automated entries during high-impact news windows to avoid erratic spread widening and slippage.
Known failure conditions
- Prolonged flat or 'choppy' markets where the Force Index oscillates around zero without trend conviction.
- High-frequency news environments where the filter prevents all entries during trending periods.
- Instrument volatility shifts that render the fixed HP Length of the MESA Stochastic out of sync with the dominant cycle.
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