Matrix-Vacuum Liquidity Breakout

Family: breakout · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Equities, FX, Crypto · Timeframes: 15m, 1h

Thesis

Market price action is driven by 'liquidity voids' between high-conviction exogenous levels (support/resistance/gamma). When short-term trend (t_ma) and volume-confirmed momentum (WatchTower) align to break toward these levels, price will rapidly traverse the distance until hitting localized liquidity extremes (Liquidity Map). Using Median Absolute Error (MdAE) provides a risk measure that accounts for current noise without over-penalizing the 'fat tails' common in breakout regimes.

Components

Known failure conditions

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