Rank-Normalized Non-Gaussian Momentum
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: Equities, Forex, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, H4
Thesis
Market returns are not normally distributed; by using the Jarque-Bera test to detect non-normality and Rank Correlation to ensure trend 'neatness,' we enter trades only when a trend is structurally distinct from noise, using psychological round levels as structural support/resistance.
Components
- EMA with Dynamic Length Switch Logic (regime) — Acts as a hyper-sensitive trend filter to ensure the current price is moving in the trade direction with minimal lag.
- Momentum (direction) — Provides the primary directional bias; ensures price difference over 10 periods aligns with the trade.
- Rank Correlation Index (entry) — Identifies when price trends exhibit high rank-order consistency (Spearman correlation), filtering out noisy, non-directional volatility.
- Average True Range (NNFX) (exit) — Determines the profit target relative to current market volatility to avoid exiting too early in high-range environments.
- Round Levels Zone Shading (risk) — Defines market structure context for risk; stops are placed behind psychological barriers where liquidity typically clusters.
- Jarque-Bera Test (JB) (volatility_filter) — Filters for non-normal price distributions. High JB values suggest 'fat tails' or trending surges that deviate from a Gaussian random walk.
Known failure conditions
- Jarque-Bera remains below 5.99 for extended periods (persistent Gaussian noise).
- RCI oscillates rapidly between +/- 50 without reaching extremes.
- Price repeatedly violates Round Level zones without following through (liquidity traps).
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