Solar-Fractal Momentum Breakout

Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Equities, Forex, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1

Thesis

Market breakouts are most reliable when they occur at the intersection of a cyclical shift (Solar Wind), positive rate-of-change (Momentum), and a confirmed structural pivot (Fractal Model). By requiring a sequence of counter-trend candles followed by a momentum breakout (Bullish Pivot logic), we filter for traps where price merely 'pokes' beyond a level without institutional backing. The edge is derived from the confluence of cycle, speed, and structural validation.

Components

• Solar Wind NRP (MQL5) (regime) — Serves as the primary cycle filter to ensure trades are taken in the direction of the smoothed Fisher-transformed momentum trend, avoiding counter-cyclical entries.
• Momentum (MOM) (direction) — Provides a raw velocity filter; price must not only be in the correct cycle but must be accelerating away from the mean.
• Donchian Channels (DC) (entry) — Used as the execution trigger; a breakout of the 20-period high/low confirms a shift in market structure and volatility expansion.
• SuperTrend (exit) — Acts as the dynamic trailing exit and trend-invalidation logic, locking in gains during sustained moves.
• Open Source Fractal Model (risk) — Defines risk parameters by identifying HTF candle sweeps and Market Structure Shifts (MSS); SL is placed at fractal structural points.
• Bullish Pivot Detector (confirmation) — Provides high-probability confirmation for long setups by detecting a specific price-action sequence (Red sequence -> Green trigger) that creates a local floor.

Known failure conditions

• More than 5 consecutive SuperTrend whipsaws in a 100-bar window (indicates deep chop).
• Price stays within the DC bands for over 50 bars while Solar Wind NRP oscillates rapidly around zero.
• Fractal Model sweeps fail to hold as support/resistance immediately after entry.

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