Synchronized Force Correlation System

Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: Forex, Indices, Commodities · Timeframes: M15, H1

Thesis

Market trends are most robust when volatility expansion is directional (BBForce), momentum is synchronized with time (RCI), and participation is elevated (RVOL). By filtering out event-driven volatility (NMNNFX), we isolate trends driven by sustained institutional accumulation/distribution rather than temporary news spikes.

Components

• BBForce / Bollinger Bands Force (regime) — Establishes the macro regime. Requires synchronized movement of Upper, Lower, and Basis bands to ensure the trend is backed by volatility expansion and directional consensus.
• UTBot Alerts (direction) — Provides the intermediate trend direction and trailing stop-loss levels based on ATR-filtered price action.
• Rank Correlation Index (entry) — Acts as the timing trigger. By measuring Spearman rank correlation, it identifies when price momentum is accelerating in the direction of the trend after a minor cycle consolidation.
• Donchian Channels (DC) (exit) — Used for structural exits. A break of the opposite channel boundary signals a regime shift or trend exhaustion.
• News Indicator NMNNFX (risk) — Provides a critical safety filter to prevent entries during high-volatility events where technical levels are often ignored.
• RVOL (Relative Volume) (confirmation) — Confirms that the directional move is supported by unusual market participation, reducing the likelihood of low-liquidity 'fakeouts'.

Known failure conditions

• Prolonged sideways 'sawtooth' price action where BBForce remains 0 for >70% of the time.
• Failure of the News Indicator to update, leading to entries during unexpected central bank volatility.
• RCI staying 'pinned' at +/- 100 while price reverses sharply, indicating a breakdown in rank-time correlation logic.

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