ASI Structural Pitchfork Hybrid
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Equities, Forex, Commodities · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1
Thesis
Market moves are only 'true' when cumulative price relationships (ASI) confirm a breakout from consolidation (Boxline). By entering at structural zones (SML) aligned with this momentum and managing risk via geometric volatility channels (Pitchfork), the strategy captures high-probability expansions and exits before the inevitable volatility-driven reversal (Mass Index).
Components
- Accumulation Swing Index (ASI) (regime) — Used as a regime filter to ensure the 'true' cumulative momentum aligns with the price action, filtering out noise.
- EMA with Switch-Based Length Reassignment (direction) — Provides a high-sensitivity trend direction baseline; though the switch logic is dormant, the fast EMA captures immediate directional bias.
- SML — SUPPORT/RESISTANCE MATRIX (entry) — Identifies structural inflection points where price is likely to find liquidity for a move.
- Mass Index (MI) (exit) — Detects range expansion 'bulges' followed by contractions, signaling a high probability of trend exhaustion/reversal for exits.
- Auto Pitchfork (risk) — Uses fractal pivots to define geometric volatility channels; utilized for dynamic stop-loss placement.
- Boxline (Range Breakout) (volatility_filter) — Filters for volatility expansion; entries are only valid following a clear range breakout to avoid 'choppy' ranging markets.
Known failure conditions
- ASI fails to trend and oscillates around zero, indicating lack of 'true' price progress despite nominal volatility.
- SML zones are frequently breached without reaction, suggesting a high-velocity environment where historical pivots are irrelevant.
- Mass Index produces 'bulges' during parabolic moves, leading to premature exits in high-momentum trends.
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