Autocorrelated Fractal Liquidity Engine
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: FX, Equities, Indices · Timeframes: H4, D1
Thesis
Market trends are driven by institutional liquidity cycles that exhibit self-similarity (autocorrelation). By identifying periods of high autocorrelation and waiting for liquidity sweeps at DRT levels, we can enter via Order Blocks. The Bandpass Filter provides a timing edge by ensuring entry occurs during the expansive phase of a price cycle, while Fractal S/R provides structural 'safe havens' for risk placement.
Components
- Autocorrelation Function (ACF) (regime) — Used as a regime filter to ensure the market is in a trend-persistent state (positive autocorrelation) rather than a mean-reverting or noisy state.
- SNAP HTF_LTF Indicator (direction) — Establishes the directional bias by identifying institutional liquidity pools and Daily Range Transfer (DRT) levels.
- Order Block & FVG Detector (entry) — Provides the high-probability entry trigger when price reacts to institutional supply/demand zones.
- SuperTrend (exit) — Acts as the dynamic trailing exit and trend-invalidation signal.
- Support and Resistance (Fractal-based) (risk) — Defines the hard stop-loss placement and calculates position sizing based on established structural pivots.
- Bandpass Filter (BPF) (confirmation) — Confirms the entry by ensuring the price cycle momentum is aligned with the trade direction, filtering out high-frequency noise.
Known failure conditions
- ACF remains consistently negative or near zero for >10 bars, indicating a breakdown in trend persistence.
- Average trade duration falls below the BPF cycle period, suggesting the strategy is chasing noise.
- The distance to the Fractal Stop Loss exceeds 3x the ATR, making the Reward-to-Risk ratio mathematically unviable.
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