Cascaded Volatility Intensity Breakout (CVIB)
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Forex, Indices, Equities · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1
Thesis
Market breakouts are most sustainable when short-term momentum (RSIOMA) aligns with significant statistical price deviation (TII). By filtering for volatility expansion (Squeeze) and using a lag-reduced trigger (MCNMA), the strategy enters at the 'inflection point' of a trend. The core edge is the rejection of 'weak' trends that lack the volatility (ATR HA) or intensity (TII) to overcome spread and slippage.
Components
- RSIOMA (RSI of Moving Average) (regime) — Defines the primary trend regime by smoothing price action twice before applying RSI, filtering out micro-noise.
- Trend Intensity Index (TII) (direction) — Ensures that the price is demonstrating a significant statistical deviation from its long-term average (2n), confirming trend persistence.
- McNicholl EMA (MCNMA) (entry) — Acts as the trigger mechanism; its 6-stage EMA structure provides a 'zero-lag' price cross signal to minimize the entry delay inherent in the other indicators.
- Commodity Channel Index (CCI) (exit) — Provides an early exit signal when momentum begins to mean-revert from extreme levels.
- ATR SL Finder (risk) — Provides a dynamic stop-loss based on realized volatility to prevent premature stop-outs.
- NNFX Squeeze (Volatility Breakout) (confirmation) — Confirms that a volatility expansion (Bollinger Bands expanding past Keltner Channels) is occurring, preventing entries in range-bound 'squeeze' zones.
- ATR Heiken Ashi (volatility_filter) — Filters out periods where the synthetic volatility (smoothed via Heiken Ashi) is below its recent average, ensuring sufficient 'fuel' for the trade.
Known failure conditions
- Extended sideways markets where TII oscillates around 50 and RSIOMA oscillates around 50 simultaneously.
- Sharp V-reversals where the zero-lag MCNMA triggers but the regime indicators (TII/RSIOMA) are still reflecting the prior trend.
- Low liquidity environments where ATR Heiken Ashi fails to reach the threshold despite price movement.
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