Confluence Gap Resolution Strategy (CGRS)
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Futures (CME/EUREX), Crypto (Orderbook-based) · Timeframes: 15m, 30m, 1h
Thesis
The strategy hypothesizes that significant institutional direction is only revealed after the 'Sunday Gap' imbalance is resolved and is subsequently confirmed by a 'triple-lock' system: structural stability (UDT test), multi-modal technical confluence (IAE), and aggressive order flow (Buddha Money Flow). The edge exists because it filters out low-conviction retail movements and only participates when volume delta and technical scoring align following a period of structural price discovery.
Components
- Unsupported array.range UDT method (regime) — Acts as a 'structural integrity' regime filter; trades are only permitted when the diagnostic test returns a value of 0, implying a lack of unhandled UDT dispersion (hypothetically stable market state).
- Custom 006 Hybrid Table Scanner (direction) — Provides the primary trend-volume bias, ensuring entries are aligned with both price slope (EMAs) and participation (Volume).
- Buddha Money Flow (entry) — Pinpoints the exact entry based on footprint imbalances and cumulative volume delta shifts, confirming institutional participation.
- Momentum Oscillator (exit) — Provides a mean-reversion exit signal when the rate of change stalls or reverses through the 100-midline.
- Parabolic SAR (risk) — Used for initial stop-loss placement and continuous trailing to lock in gains during trending moves.
- IAE — Technical Confluence Score (confirmation) — Aggregates 10 layers of data to ensure that high-conviction entries are only taken during maximum confluence.
- Sunday Opening Gap (volatility_filter) — Acts as a volatility floor/ceiling; trades are restricted until the initial weekly imbalance is resolved or cleared.
Known failure conditions
- IAE Confluence Score remains between 40-60 for extended periods, indicating a lack of clear market regime.
- Price consistently oscillates within the Sunday Opening Gap zone, causing the volatility filter to trap capital.
- Exchange data feeds lack the tick/footprint granularity required for Buddha Money Flow (CVD) calculations.
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