CRC Fractal Confluence Step-Trader

Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: FX, Equities, Indices · Timeframes: H1, H4

Thesis

Market movements occur in discrete 'steps' of volatility rather than smooth continuums. By defining a regime based on a fixed tick-range (CRC) and only entering when fractal trendlines break within a confirmed Ichimoku trend, the strategy captures the transition from consolidation to expansion. Entering on a mean-reversion (Bollinger SMA) during this expansion provides a structural edge by exploiting short-term pullbacks before the next volatility 'step' occurs.

Components

Constant Range Channel (regime) — Establishes the volatility-based 'step' regime. Only when price breaks the fixed tick-range does it signal a transition between market value areas.
Trend Break Fractal (direction) — Determines the directional bias by identifying the breach of structural pivot points (fractal trendlines), indicating momentum shifts.
Bollinger Bands (Standard) (entry) — Executes the trade on a mean-reversion 'dip' (SMA touch) within the confirmed trend, providing a better risk-reward entry point.
IAE — Technical Confluence Score (exit) — Aggregates 10 layers of technical data to manage the exit; when the composite score fades, it signals the exhaustion of the move.
Spread Display and Alert (risk) — Prevents execution during periods of low liquidity or high slippage risk, which would invalidate the tight CRC-based stop-loss logic.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (confirmation) — Acts as a high-probability filter; trades are only taken in the direction of the Senkou Span (Cloud) to ensure alignment with medium-term trend.

Known failure conditions

Price remains within a single Constant Range Channel (CRC) for extended periods (low volatility stagnation).
IAE Confluence Score oscillates rapidly around the 50-midpoint, triggering premature exits.
The market exhibits 'staircase' volatility where CRC steps shift frequently without trend follow-through.

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