Cross-Horizon Macro-Technical Hybrid
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Forex (Major Pairs), Equities (Liquid ETFs) · Timeframes: M15 (Execution), H1 (Regime)
Thesis
Market edges exist when local 'short-term' exhaustion (Bollinger penetration) occurs in the direction of 'long-term' structural momentum (Heatmap), provided the global macro-environment (Macro Risk) is stable enough to allow technical patterns to play out without exogenous shocks.
Components
- Heatmap Framework (regime) — Establishes a multi-timeframe regime bias; prevents trading against the Higher Timeframe (H1) structural trend.
- CCI Arrows (direction) — The primary directional driver, identifying momentum shifts back in the direction of the dominant heatmap regime.
- Bollinger bands / Connectable [Azullian] (entry) — Identifies local exhaustion (mean-reversion triggers) within the established trend to refine entries.
- MACD (exit) — Detects when the specific momentum impulse of the trade has peaked or reversed, suggesting an exit.
- Chandelier Exit Heiken Ashi Variant (risk) — Calculates volatility-adjusted stops based on HA extremes to allow for trend breathing while protecting capital.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) (confirmation) — Provides momentum confirmation to ensure the price action is not stalling at the point of entry.
- Macro Risk Dashboard v8.2 (volatility_filter) — Provides the primary volatility gate; ensures the strategy only executes when global macro stress is within historical norms (low Z-score).
Known failure conditions
- Correlation of heatmap buffers across all timeframes fails to filter out ranging 'chopped' price action.
- Macro Risk Dashboard data lag results in taking trades during unmodeled volatility spikes.
- Heiken Ashi Chandelier stops are consistently hit before the first MACD histogram shift in a trending environment.
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