Elliott-IAE Volume Confluence System
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Equities, Forex, Crypto · Timeframes: 15m, 1h, 4h
Thesis
Market participants move in predictable cycles (Elliott Waves), but these cycles only offer an edge when 'validated' by institutional volume anomalies (High-Volume Pivots) and a confluence of cross-domain technical factors (IAE). By entering only when wave structure, volume zones, and momentum align, we exploit the tail-end of institutional accumulation/distribution.
Components
- Elliott Wave [LuxAlgo] (regime) — Identifies the broader market cycle to ensure entries occur during motive phases (Wave 3 or 5) rather than late-stage corrections.
- iSpy Agent (direction) — Acts as the data transmission layer; used here to filter for intra-day price direction relative to the session open via tick-event broadcasting.
- IAE — Technical Confluence Score (entry) — Aggregates momentum, trend strength, and volume into a single trigger value (0-100) to confirm entry conviction.
- Pivot Points (Classic) (exit) — Provides static, non-repainting horizontal targets for profit taking based on prior session volatility.
- GAS Price Levels (risk) — Determines dynamic stop-loss placement using alpha-weighted volatility factors and Bollinger-KAMA hybrids.
- Volume and Pivot Points Correlation with Full Control (volatility_filter) — Ensures the strategy only executes within 'War Zones'—areas where high-volume anomalies confirm institutional interest.
Known failure conditions
- Elliott Wave structure continuously invalidating (Wave 4 overlapping Wave 1) across multiple timeframes.
- IAE score oscillating rapidly around the 50-level, indicating a lack of clear momentum confluence.
- GAS price levels expanding significantly during low-volume periods, indicating the volatility model is disconnected from actual price action.
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