Float-Anchor Momentum Hybrid

Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: FX (Majors), Equities (Large Cap), Commodities (Gold/Oil) · Timeframes: H1, H4

Thesis

Markets move in cycles defined by volume absorption. When the cumulative volume since the last swing high/low (Float) reaches a critical threshold, the current regime is 'exhausted,' creating high-probability opportunities for a trend continuation or reversal. By aligning this volume exhaustion with MACD momentum and traditional pivot levels, we filter out low-probability noise. The 'edge' lies in the structural validation of risk using Roshaneforde levels (engulfing patterns) rather than arbitrary volatility measures.

Components

• Float Trader Indicator (regime) — Identifies market structure 'anchors' by measuring cumulative volume; ensures the strategy only enters after a significant volume-based reset has occurred, signaling trend exhaustion or new accumulation.
• SuperTrend & Pivots (direction) — Filters trades based on volatility-adjusted trend direction (SuperTrend) and institutional daily bias (Traditional Pivot Point P).
• MACD (entry) — Provides the tactical trigger by confirming momentum is accelerating in the direction of the established regime and trend.
• SML — SUPPORT/RESISTANCE MATRIX (exit) — Provides dynamic, retest-validated exit zones where price is statistically likely to stall or reverse due to historical supply/demand clusters.
• Roshaneforde Pivot Levels (risk) — Defines the logical invalidation point based on specific engulfing/reversal patterns, ensuring the stop-loss is placed behind a structural 'wall'.

Known failure conditions

• More than 5 consecutive volume resets (Float Trader) without price moving at least 1x ATR, indicating a non-trending 'dead zone'.
• Daily Pivot P is consistently within the SML zone buffer (0.3%), indicating extreme compression where risk/reward is unfavorable.

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