GHOST Grid Cyclical Momentum Strategy

Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Gold (XAUUSD), Major Forex Pairs · Timeframes: H1, M30

Thesis

Market participants often overreact to short-term momentum shifts within a broader trend; by identifying MACD crossovers on the 'discounted' side of the zero-line, confirmed by institutional order flow angles and cyclical trends (STC), we can enter high-probability continuations before volatility exhaustion (ATR Fib).

Components

• GHOST OrderFlow Dashboard — DerivEAPro v10 (regime) — Determines volume-based sentiment and momentum 'angle' to ensure entries align with order flow direction.
• Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) (direction) — Identifies the broader cyclical trend to ensure we aren't buying into a late-stage cycle exhaustion.
• MACD signal turn (entry) — Triggers entry on momentum shifts occurring on the 'discounted' side of the zero line (mean reversion bias).
• ATR Heiken Ashi (exit) — Provides a smoothed volatility-adjusted exit to prevent premature stopping during minor fluctuations.
• Point-Based Price Grid (risk) — Standardizes risk units and stop-loss placement based on fixed price structural intervals rather than percentage.
• Bill Williams Alligator (confirmation) — Confirms the presence of an active trend to filter out MACD crosses that occur in tight ranging markets.
• ATR Fib (volatility_filter) — Filters trades based on session-relative extensions to avoid entering when the daily volatility is already exhausted.

Known failure conditions

• Failure of GHOST external data stream leading to stale momentum angles.
• Prolonged ranging market where Alligator remains intertwined for >100 bars.
• Price action stays consistently below the 1845.0 threshold on XAUUSD, rendering the regime filter inactive for Longs.

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