Ghost-Trend OrderFlow Breakout

Family: breakout · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: Equities, FX, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, M15

Thesis

Market trends are initiated by institutional imbalances reflected in cumulative volume delta (CVD) and 'sentiment' (buy/sell dominance). By entering when price breaks VWAP with excessive volume AND a volatility-adjusted trend level (SilverTrend), we capture the 'meat' of the move where momentum is highest. The TII ensures we aren't buying the absolute peak of a mean-reversion move, and Pivot Points provide objective profit targets based on established volatility ranges.

Components

• GHOST — OrderFlow Intelligence (regime) — Acts as the primary regime filter to ensure trades are aligned with positive/negative volume delta and sentiment proxies.
• SilverTrend Sv2 (direction) — Provides the immediate directional bias based on volatility-adjusted price breakouts from recent extremes.
• KandleKings™ WatchTower v1.0 (entry) — Triggers the entry when price breaks VWAP with a significant volume surge and momentum (RSI) confirmation.
• Pivot Points (Classic) (exit) — Uses static session-based levels for logical profit-taking targets based on historical intraday volatility.
• Support and Resistance (Fractal-based) (risk) — Defines risk parameters (Stop Loss) based on recent structural swing points.
• Trend Intensity Index (TII) (confirmation) — Confirms that the price deviation from the long-term mean is high enough to suggest a sustainable trend rather than a noise spike.

Known failure conditions

• Prolonged periods of price hugging VWAP with low volume (mean-reversion regime).
• Sharp reversals where Fractal Support is too far from entry, leading to poor R:R.
• Frequent cross-unders of the TII 50 level during choppy market structure.

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