Harmonic RWI Pitchfork Trend Hybrid

Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Forex, Equities, Commodities · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1

Thesis

Market trends are most tradable when a structural harmonic correction concludes (Regime), price escapes a 'random walk' state (Direction), and momentum synchronizes across multiple time-windows (Entry). This hypothesis assumes that volatility expansion (VR) at the start of a trend-following move increases the probability of reaching a geometric channel target (Pitchfork) before a reversal (Ichimoku Exit).

Components

• Custom Pattern Detection (regime) — Used as a regime filter to ensure we are trading within a structured harmonic framework (e.g., waiting for a completed CD leg).
• Random Walk Index (RWI BTF) (direction) — Provides directional bias by confirming if price is in a non-random trend (RWI High > 1 for Bulls, RWI Low > 1 for Bears).
• Easy Trend Visualizer (ETV) (entry) — Acts as the execution trigger by requiring triple ADX alignment and breakout of its exhaustion levels.
• Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (exit) — Provides the dynamic exit signal via Kijun-sen crosses or Tenkan/Kijun crossovers, capturing the meat of the move.
• Auto Pitchfork (risk) — Defines the geometric risk boundary; stop loss is placed outside the median line or outer parallel lines.
• Volatility Ratio (VR) (volatility_filter) — Ensures the entry occurs during a momentum expansion (VR > 1.0) rather than a low-liquidity drift.

Known failure conditions

• Price consistently hits Pitchfork boundaries without reaching the first Ichimoku exit signal.
• ADX alignment (ETV) occurs primarily at the end of established trends rather than at the start.
• RWI stays below 1.0 for extended periods during high-volatility spikes, leading to missed opportunities.

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