HiLo-MACD Structural Momentum Trader
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: FX, CFDs, Equities · Timeframes: H1, H4
Thesis
Market trends exhibit momentum persistence that can be captured by MACD once a structural floor/ceiling (HiLo Activator) is established. This strategy assumes that entering on a momentum shift within an established trend, verified by active market participation (iSpy Agent), provides a higher probability edge than simple breakout trading.
Components
- HiLo Activator (Pandini Version) (regime) — Establishes the prevailing trend regime based on SMA-derived support/resistance flips to filter out counter-trend noise.
- iSpy Agent (direction) — Acts as a market structure filter by ensuring tick-level order flow data is broadcast, though here interpreted as a filter requiring price to be trading outside of recent 'high-activity' tick zones.
- MACD (entry) — Provides the execution trigger via MACD/Signal line crossovers once the regime and direction filters are aligned.
- Relative Strength Index (Standard) (exit) — Identifies momentum exhaustion to exit positions before the trend reverses.
- Average True Range (NNFX Version) (risk) — Normalizes risk-taking and stop-loss placement based on rolling 14-period volatility.
Known failure conditions
- The strategy fails if volatility (ATR) drops below the spread cost for extended periods.
- Hypothesis is invalidated if MACD crosses provide zero edge during trending HiLo regimes.
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