HMA-TBO Volume Momentum Sync

Family: breakout · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: Forex, Indices, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, H4

Thesis

Market price discovery occurs in bursts of volume; by combining a lag-reduced trend regime (HMA) with a structural breakout measure (TBO) and immediate momentum trigger (UT Bot), we can isolate high-probability entries into emerging trends while filtering out the low-volume noise that typically causes breakout failures.

Components

• Hull Moving Average (HMA) (regime) — Sets the primary trend bias using a lag-reduced calculation to ensure we are on the right side of short-term momentum.
• TradeBreakOut (TBO) (direction) — Confirms structural breakout by measuring price deviation from historical highs/lows.
• UT Bot Alerts (MQL5) (entry) — Provides the final execution signal based on an ATR-trailing stop crossover, capturing immediate momentum.
• Chandelier Exit Heiken Ashi Variant (exit) — Uses Heiken Ashi smoothed price extremes and volatility to trail a stop that ignores minor noise but reacts to trend reversals.
• Average True Range (NNFX Version) (risk) — Provides a volatility-adjusted basis for stop-loss placement and position sizing.
• Average Volume (AV) (volatility_filter) — Filters out low-conviction breakouts; entry is only valid if volume exceeds its 60-period EMA.

Known failure conditions

• Strategy enters a 'ping-pong' state where TBO triggers but HMA slope alternates every 3-5 bars.
• High-volume spikes occur on reversal candles rather than breakout candles.
• Price repeatedly hits Chandelier Exit levels during the first 3 bars after UT Bot entry.

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