IAE-SSL Multi-Confluence Pullback System
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Equities, Futures, FX · Timeframes: 1H, 4H, Daily
Thesis
Market trends are most tradable when ten distinct technical perspectives (IAE) converge on a single direction. Within these high-conviction regimes, short-term momentum pullbacks (Williams %R) provide optimal entry points, while fixed-tick structural stops (CRC) provide a more robust risk floor than standard ATR-based stops which can over-expand during blow-off tops.
Components
- IAE — Technical Confluence Score (regime) — Used as a high-conviction regime filter. Only trades when at least 7/10 technical layers align, reducing 'noise' trades in choppy markets.
- SSL Channel (direction) — Provides the primary trend direction bias; ensures entries are only taken in the direction of the SMA-based high/low channel.
- Williams %R (entry) — Acts as a timing trigger. In a confirmed uptrend, a cross above -80 identifies the resumption of momentum after a minor pullback.
- Chandelier Exit (Heiken Ashi) (exit) — Serves as a trailing stop that responds to Heiken Ashi price action, tightening during volatility expansions to lock in profits.
- Constant Range Channel (risk) — Provides a non-time-based structural stop-loss. Using fixed tick ranges ensures the stop is outside the immediate 'noise' floor/ceiling.
- GoldenChart MACD (confirmation) — Filters out entries where the Williams %R trigger is not supported by histogram expansion in the trade direction.
Known failure conditions
- Williams %R spends extended periods in 'extremes' without price reversal, indicating a parabolic trend the strategy is too slow to join.
- IAE score oscillates rapidly around the 50-midpoint, indicating a lack of clear market structure.
- Fixed tick distance in Constant Range Channel becomes too tight relative to realized ATR, leading to 'death by a thousand stops'.
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