Ichimoku Climax-Distro Range System

Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Equities, Indices, Large-cap Forex · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1

Thesis

Asset prices exhibit momentum when institutional accumulation is present (low D-Days) and volatility is contained within structural boundaries. By combining macro-distribution tracking (CCC) with Ichimoku trend displacement and entering only at 'engulfing' structural pivots, we can capture the meat of a trend while using a volatility-responsive range exit to mitigate downside risk. The edge resides in filtering out 'climax' retail exhaustion moves.

Components

• Combined Candle Counter (CCC) Dev (regime) — Establishes large-scale market health by filtering out 'Distribution Days' and ensures the market is not in a climactic exhaustion phase.
• Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (direction) — Determines the dominant medium-term trend direction and ensures price momentum is positive relative to the cloud and Kijun line.
• Roshaneforde Pivot Levels (entry) — Acts as a strike trigger by identifying micro-reversal zones where price consolidates before continuing the primary trend. Scatter entries at breached engulfing levels.
• Donchian Channels (exit) — Provides a trailing exit mechanism based on structural price failure (falling below the 20-day low).
• Constant Range Channel (risk) — Provides a fixed-volatility stop loss baseline that updates only when price clears a specific tick threshold, preventing premature stops during noise.

Known failure conditions

• Price remains stuck within the Constant Range Channel for extended periods without reaching Donchian exits.
• Ichimoku Cloud twists frequently (low-volatility oscillation).
• CCC Dev triggers frequent Climax signals in a trending market, leading to missed opportunities.

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