Institutional Kinetic Pitchfork System

Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: FX, Equities, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, H4

Thesis

Trends driven by institutional flow (Order Blocks) maintain directional momentum (DMI/Ichimoku) until they reach geometric exhaustion points defined by historical pivot structures (Pitchfork). By entering at OB mitigations in high-momentum regimes, we capture the most efficient part of the trend while using volatility-based stops to survive minor pullbacks.

Components

• Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (regime) — Provides the primary trend filter; price must be on the correct side of the Kumo (cloud) to establish the macro regime.
• Directional Movement Index (DMI) (direction) — Ensures the trend has sufficient strength (ADX > 25) and confirms local directional bias through DI crossover.
• Sonarlab - Order Blocks (entry) — Triggers entries when price interacts with institutional supply/demand zones formed by high ROC moves.
• Auto Pitchfork (exit) — Provides structural targets based on median line theory; exits are triggered when price reaches the median or outer parallel lines.
• Bollinger Bands (risk) — Sets volatility-adjusted stop losses based on the outer bands to account for market noise.

Known failure conditions

• ADX falls below 20 for more than 50 bars (trend death).
• Price enters a 'pinball' state between Span A and Span B (cloud consolidation).
• Pitchfork pivots are frequently redefined in a narrow range, indicating lack of structural geometry.

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