Jurik-Pitchfork Structural Trend Hybrid

Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Forex Majors, Equity Indices (SPX500, NASDAQ) · Timeframes: H1, H4

Thesis

Market trends move in structural 'pitchfork' channels defined by fractal pivots. By aligning these structural channels with multi-timeframe moving average clusters, we can identify high-probability trend legs. Entering on RSI momentum shifts and exiting using adaptive Jurik bands allows us to capture the most efficient portion of the trend before volatility reaches local exhaustion. Point-based grids provide a fixed structural floor for risk, independent of short-term noise.

Components

Auto Pitchfork (regime) — Defines the structural 'corridor' of the market. Only trades in the direction of the pitchfork median line slope to ensure alignment with structural pivots.
Moving Average Ribbon (chingc) (direction) — Filters for trend 'stackedness'. Ensures momentum is supported by multiple time-horizons (short-term ribbon vs. long-term averages).
Relative Strength Index (RSI) (entry) — Acts as a timing trigger to enter on local momentum surges (RSI > 50) once regime and direction are aligned.
Jurik Adaptive Envelope Bands (exit) — Provides a volatility-sensitive exit target. The adaptive nature of Jurik avoids the lag of standard Bollinger Bands, exiting before mean reversion occurs.
Point-Based Price Grid (risk) — Uses fixed-point increments to define stop-loss distances, acknowledging that price often respects fixed psychological levels or market maker 'grids'.

Known failure conditions

Consecutive redraws of the Auto Pitchfork leading to 'whipsaw' regime shifts.
Price remains pinned to the Jurik Midline without reaching envelopes in low-volatility environments.
Grid intervals being too tight relative to current ATR, leading to premature stop-outs.

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