Jurik-Trendilo Grid Navigator
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: FX, Equities, Crypto · Timeframes: M15, H1
Thesis
Market participants cluster orders around psychological round numbers (Grid Points). By using Jurik Adaptive Envelopes to define the 'volatility-adjusted' fair value and Trendilo to confirm ALMA-smoothed momentum, we can identify high-probability breaks of these levels. The MTF Dashboard ensures we are only trading in the direction of the broader institutional flow, creating an edge through the confluence of structural psychology and adaptive trend-following.
Components
- Jurik Adaptive Envelope Bands (regime) — Provides the 'trading lane'. We only enter when price is within the adaptive envelope to avoid trading extreme, unsustainable outliers defined by the 128-bar volatility distribution.
- Multi Timeframe Moving Average Dashboard (direction) — Ensures the trade is taken in the direction of the macro-structural flow across multiple timeframes (M15, H1, H4), reducing the risk of 'fighting the tape'.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) (entry) — Identifies local momentum recovery. We use the 50-level cross or divergence to trigger entries once the higher-level regime and direction filters are met.
- SuperTrend (exit) — Serves as the primary trailing exit mechanism to capture trend extensions while providing a discrete 'flip' signal to close positions.
- Grid Points Utility (risk) — Defines structural risk. Stop-loss and take-profit levels are anchored to these psychological round-numbers, which act as natural support/resistance zones.
- Trendilo MT5 (volatility_filter) — Acts as a momentum-volatility gatekeeper; it ensures that the ALMA-smoothed price variance is expanding in our direction before entry.
Known failure conditions
- MTF Dashboard signals are consistently mixed (no clear 60%+ majority) for > 48 hours, indicating a range-bound market.
- Price consistently breaches Jurik Bands without Trendilo expansion, suggesting high-noise/low-momentum volatility.
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