L'mas Pitchfork Momentum Confluence
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: XAU/USD, Major FX Pairs · Timeframes: M15, H1
Thesis
Markets exhibit inertia when price escapes a volatility-adjusted channel (L'mas), but immediate entries are often suboptimal. By waiting for a stochastic-driven momentum exhaustion (Restu Kaioh) that aligns with multi-timeframe support (MTF MAs) and occurs in a low-noise environment (MdAE), we can enter high-probability trend continuations. Geometric structures (Pitchforks) provide superior risk boundaries than static pips because they adjust to the trend's slope.
Components
- MA Channel Band (L'mas System) (regime) — Defines the macro trend regime; requires price and a fast MA to break out of a long-term channel to confirm momentum shift.
- MA(x6) Multi-Timeframe Visualizer (direction) — Aligns the current trade direction with higher-timeframe support/resistance clusters.
- Restu Kaioh Scalping Indicator (entry) — Provides the execution trigger via oversold/overbought stochastic readings to time entries within the trend.
- Pivot Points (Classic) (exit) — Sets fixed take-profit targets based on prior-period volatility and structural liquidity.
- Auto Pitchfork (risk) — Defines dynamic risk boundaries; stops are placed behind the median line or outer channel to account for geometric price action.
- Median Absolute Error (volatility_filter) — Filters trades during periods where price 'prediction' (gap between open/close) is too high/volatile, indicating noise.
Known failure conditions
- The MA(x6) MTF levels create a 'grid' so dense that no trade can pass the filter requirements.
- Median Absolute Error remains consistently above the 14-period average, indicating a regime shift toward unforecastable noise.
- Price remains pinned within the MA Channel Band for >100 bars, indicating a range-bound environment unsuitable for this trend-following logic.
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