Linear Regression Pivot Matrix Hybrid
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Forex Majors · Timeframes: H1, H4
Thesis
The strategy assumes that significant Forex trends are driven by aggregate capital flows (measured by the Currency Index and Matrix) and that entering on a local momentum pullback (MACD discounted cross) within a linear trend provides a statistically superior entry point. High-volume pivots represent 'smart money' commitment levels, providing logical structural protection for stops.
Components
- Linear Regression (LINREG) (regime) — Determines the primary trend regime via the slope of the least-squares line.
- Currency Strength Matrix (All) (direction) — Ensures the trade is aligned with the relative strength of the two currencies in the pair.
- MACD signal turn (entry) — Triggers entries on mean-reversion pullbacks (discounted side of zero) within the established trend.
- Chandelier Exit (Heiken Ashi) (exit) — Provides a volatility-adjusted trailing stop to lock in profits during trend extensions. (Modified default parameters for stability).
- Volume and Pivot Points Correlation with Full Control (risk) — Identifies high-volume structural support/resistance 'War Zones' for precise stop-loss placement.
- Darwinex Labs Currency Index (confirmation) — Confirms the momentum of the base currency against a broader basket to ensure the pair move isn't an isolated anomaly.
- ATR Heiken Ashi (volatility_filter) — Filters out low-volatility regimes where MACD crossovers and LinReg slopes are prone to noise.
Known failure conditions
- LinReg slope remains flat (<0.0001) for more than 20 bars, indicating a range-bound regime.
- Currency Strength Matrix shows all major currencies clustered within a 5% range of each other (low dispersion).
- The 'War Zone' stop-loss distance exceeds 3x the ATR HA, indicating excessive risk per trade.
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