Low-Turbulence Momentum Squeeze
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: Equities, Forex, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1
Thesis
Momentum assets are prone to mean-reversion during high-noise phases; by using the Market Weather filter to identify 'quiet' trend regimes and entering only on Bollinger Squeeze breakouts, we capture high-probability momentum continuations while avoiding the whipsaws common in 'turbulent' markets.
Components
- Performance Table (regime) — Establishes a relative strength regime; we only trade assets showing significant multi-month momentum relative to their own history.
- SuperTrend (direction) — Provides the primary directional filter to ensure we are not trading against the dominant trend.
- Bollinger Squeeze Advanced (entry) — Identifies the specific volatility breakout point following a period of consolidation.
- Grid Points Utility (exit) — Provides objective, non-dynamic price targets based on psychological round numbers or fixed intervals.
- Average True Range (ATR) (risk) — Used for volatility-adjusted stop losses and position sizing to normalize risk across different assets.
- Market Weather Price MA Cross (volatility_filter) — Filters out 'noisy' regimes; if price crosses the 60-period SMA too frequently, the market is too turbulent for clean breakouts.
Known failure conditions
- Performance Table shows high volatility but no net gain over 6 months (range-bound).
- Market Weather count remains consistently above 20, indicating permanent structural noise in the asset.
- Grid points are set too narrow relative to the ATR, leading to 'death by a thousand cuts' on spreads.
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