McNicholl-PiPi Structural Momentum Trader
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: FX, Equities, Crypto · Timeframes: M15, H1
Thesis
The strategy hypothesizes that market trends are fractal and that high-momentum moves on the H1 timeframe create predictable 'infrastructure' zones (PiPi levels) on the M15. By using a zero-lag EMA (McNicholl) to confirm the resumption of the trend after a pullback to these zones, and filtering for daily-scale overextension (D1 BB), the trader can capture the most efficient portion of a trend with a volatility-adjusted risk profile.
Components
- TF Bias Detector (SMC) (regime) — Establishes the macro-momentum environment by requiring H1 RSI > 50 and H1 Price > EMA20 to filter out weak trend states.
- McNicholl EMA (MCNMA) (direction) — Provides a zero-lag trend confirmation; its responsiveness ensures we are entering immediately as price resumes the primary trend direction.
- PiPi (Price Infrastructure & Position Interface) (entry) — Defines the specific entry zone by identifying Fibonacci-based retracement levels within the current price context.
- HiLo Activator (Pandini Version) (exit) — Provides a trailing trend exit that switches from tracking lows (long) to highs (short) upon a price breach.
- SuperTrend MT5 (FxGeek) (risk) — Dynamic stop-loss placement based on ATR volatility, used for both risk definition and position sizing.
- D1 Bollinger Bands (Period 90) on M15 (Forward Shifted) (volatility_filter) — Acts as a high-level boundary to prevent buying into long-term overbought (Upper BB) or oversold (Lower BB) conditions.
Known failure conditions
- Protracted sideways price action where SuperTrend and HiLo repeatedly flip without price movement.
- Price consistently stays beyond D1 Bollinger Band extremes, indicating a parabolic move where the filter prevents entry.
- Inconsistent data synchronization between M15 and H1 timeframes causing regime lag.
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