NVI-Connect Volatility Trend Hunter

Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Forex, Equities, Crypto · Timeframes: 15m, 1H, 4H

Thesis

Market trends are most sustainable when price movement occurs on declining volume (NVI), indicating institutional absorption rather than retail exhaustion. By combining this volume-based direction with volatility-based triggers (UTBot) and cycle-based exits (CG), the strategy aims to enter high-probability momentum bursts and exit before the 'smart money' distribution phase ends.

Components

• ADX / Connectable [Azullian] (regime) — Identifies high-conviction trending regimes to avoid the UTBot's primary weakness (whipsaws in ranges).
• Negative Volume Index (NVI) / Positive Volume Index (PVI) (direction) — Detects 'smart money' accumulation/distribution by confirming price direction during periods of quiet volume.
• UTBot Alerts (entry) — Provides the final trigger based on price crossing an ATR-adjusted trailing stop.
• Ehlers Center of Gravity (CG) (exit) — Acts as a lead-oscillator to exit before the lagging ADX/MACD signals can decay.
• FakeCandle (risk) — Standardizes market structure visuals and provides the ATR-based basis for position sizing.
• MACD (confirmation) — Filters entries by ensuring momentum is aligned with the ADX-defined trend.
• SMA3x5+BB - pjdhiro (volatility_filter) — Filters out entries during extreme volatility compression (squeeze) or expansion beyond BB bands.

Known failure conditions

• ADX remains below 20 for extended periods, leading to 'no-trade' zones in trending markets.
• MACD and NVI provide conflicting signals (divergence), neutralizing entry frequency.
• Price remains pinned to Bollinger Band extremes without Mean Reversion, triggering premature exits.

Explore the full interactive blueprint, parameter ranges and evidence on WOBR StrategyVerse, or generate this strategy as an MT4/MT5 Expert Advisor with QuantMogul AI Engine.