NY Squeeze Sweep Macro Hybrid
Family: breakout · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: FX, Equities, Indices · Timeframes: M15, H1
Thesis
This strategy hypothesizes that significant price moves are preceded by liquidity sweeps (stop-runs) during high-volume sessions (NY). By entering only when volatility is expanding (TTM Squeeze release) and aligning with both daily structure and global macro stability, we filter out low-probability 'fakeouts' and capture the meat of institutional re-pricing moves.
Components
- TTM Squeeze (Carter Ratio version) (regime) — Acts as the momentum trigger; trades are only taken when the squeeze has 'fired' (Squeeze Off) and momentum is rising in the direction of the bias.
- The Daily Sweep (direction) — Provides the primary directional bias and liquidity-grab signal required to identify institutional 'smart money' reversals during the NY open.
- PiPi (Price Infrastructure & Position Interface) (entry) — Used to define the precise entry point by requiring price to be at a specific Fibonacci 'Level' or 'Context' rather than just chasing the sweep candle.
- SuperTrend (exit) — Provides a dynamic trailing exit that adapts to volatility, allowing the strategy to capture large momentum moves while protecting capital during reversals.
- Macro Risk Dashboard v8.2 (risk) — Scales position size and validates trade viability based on cross-asset stress levels; trades are skipped if systemic risk is too high.
- OTLIB Stochastic Oscillator (confirmation) — Filters out overextended entries (overbought/oversold) that often occur immediately after a liquidity sweep.
- Spread Display and Alert (volatility_filter) — Prevents execution during periods of thin liquidity (e.g., news spikes) where slippage would invalidate the ICT-style precision.
Known failure conditions
- Market enters a prolonged low-volatility environment where TTM Squeeze remains 'ON' for weeks (consolidation exhaustion).
- Daily Bias (H1>H2>H3) flips frequently in a choppy, non-trending daily regime.
- Macro Risk Composite remains above the 90th percentile, indicating systemic breakdown where technical levels are ignored.
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