OI-Flow VWAP TimeBlock Breakout
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Futures, Crypto Futures · Timeframes: H1
Thesis
Market breakouts are most predictive when price crosses a significant psychological barrier (nominal price levels) while simultaneously showing an increase in committed capital (Open Interest) and maintaining a position above the session's volume-weighted average price (VWAP). By aligning time-based regime filters with liquidity-weighted momentum, the strategy attempts to capture institutional-led trend expansions in the futures market.
Components
- TimeBlocks (Multifunctional Period Separator) (regime) — Establishes the intraday bias based on VWAP balance; price must be above VWAP for longs and below for shorts to ensure alignment with session value.
- Open Interest Stochastic Money Flow Index (direction) — Ensures that price movement is supported by rising capital commitment (Open Interest) rather than thin-volume speculative spikes.
- Plotshape Test Indicator (entry) — Acts as a final volatility 'gate'; the hardcoded threshold requires price to cross a specific nominal level (e.g., 2.0), simulating a breakout above a psychological or structural integer.
- Bears Power (exit) — Detects the resurgence of selling pressure; a sharp drop in Bears Power against the trend serves as an early warning for exit.
- FakeCandle (risk) — Provides the NNFX-style volatility envelope used to calculate dynamic stop-loss levels based on candle range modifications.
- Average Force (confirmation) — Smooths noise and confirms that the current candle's close is positioned strongly within its recent high-low range, filtering out weak breakouts.
Known failure conditions
- Open Interest data feeds become latent or disconnected from the exchange.
- Price levels of the asset move significantly away from the hardcoded thresholds of the Entry indicator (1.0 - 2.0 range).
- Market enters a low-volatility 'choppy' regime where VWAP balance flips frequently within a single TimeBlock.
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