Psychological Round-Level Impulse Strategy

Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: FX Majors, Equity Indices, Gold (XAUUSD) · Timeframes: M15, H1

Thesis

Price reversals and impulsive continuations are most potent when they originate from psychological 'round' numbers (e.g., 1.1000). By identifying an Order Block (institutional footprint) near these levels and confirming the trend with SuperTrend, we filter for high-conviction moves while using session-adjusted pivots to provide objective risk boundaries.

Components

• Round Levels Zone Shading (regime) — Identifies psychological price magnets where institutional limit orders typically cluster, defining the structural regime.
• Order Block / FVG Detector (direction) — Pinpoints the exact impulsive price action (Fair Value Gaps) that signals a shift in institutional sentiment near the round levels.
• SuperTrend & Pivots (entry) — Acts as the momentum trigger; uses SuperTrend for trend confirmation and the internal pivot cross for timing.
• Bears Power (exit) — Used to identify the exhaustion of selling pressure for shorts or the emergence of selling pressure for long exits.
• Pivot Point S&R with GMT Correction (risk) — Provides objectively calculated support/resistance based on specific session opens for precise stop-loss placement and position sizing.
• Nadaraya-Watson Envelope (EMA Proxy) (volatility_filter) — Filters out entries when price is overextended beyond the dynamic volatility bands, preventing 'buying the top'.

Known failure conditions

• Market enters a low-volatility 'sawtooth' pattern between round levels without triggering OB/FVG signals.
• Multiple SuperTrend flips occur within the same Round Level Zone without price progression (churn).
• Macro news events causing large slippage through Pivot-defined S/R levels.

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