Structural USD Strength Pivot Hybrid

Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: FX (Majors) · Timeframes: H1, H4

Thesis

USD strength tends to persist when volatility is structural (Pivots) rather than chaotic. By using a 'logic error' filter as a proxy for high-noise environments (where array sorting by price would fail), we identify stable trends. The edge exists because currency relative strength identifies the underlying macro flow, while Bollinger Band triggers ensure we enter as momentum accelerates, with risk anchored to institutional liquidity grabs (Bullish Pivots).

Components

• Unsupported array.sort_indices Order (regime) — Acts as a 'Complexity Filter'. Since the function expects a constant (0/1) but receives a series (close), we define the tradable regime only when price is relatively stable (Low Volatility) to avoid logic errors in high-entropy environments.
• Currency Strength Template (direction) — Determines the directional bias by identifying if the base currency is outperforming the basket.
• Bollinger Bands (entry) — Provides the execution trigger; looking for a volatility-backed breakout above the mean (SMA).
• SuperTrend (exit) — Provides a trailing exit and trend-flip signal to capture the meat of the move.
• Bullish Pivot Detector (risk) — Defines the hard stop-loss based on the 'Running Low' of the most recent structural pivot confirmation.
• MACD Classic (confirmation) — Confirms that the momentum is aligned with the currency strength direction.

Known failure conditions

• The Currency Strength logic fails to aggregate correctly due to lack of liquidity in specific crosses.
• Price breaches the SuperTrend line immediately following entry, indicating a 'fakeout' regime.
• Market becomes 'too clean', causing the Bullish Pivot Detector to fail in identifying structural floors.

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