Tech-Proxy Liquidity Hunt Long-Only Hybrid

Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Equities, Crypto, US Tech 100 Index · Timeframes: H1, H4

Thesis

Market liquidity tends to cluster above recent swing highs and below swing lows. By using AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL as a proxy for 'risk-on' sentiment, we can identify high-probability environments where 'Smart Money' is likely to defend Fair Value Gaps and Order Blocks. The edge exists because retail traders often place stops at the 'Running Low' of pivots, which institutions hunt before driving price toward the opposite liquidity pool (BuyLiq).

Components

• V6 All Features Fixture (regime) — Uses the average price of AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL as a proxy for 'Big Tech' sentiment to determine if the overall market regime is conducive to long positions.
• iSpy Agent (direction) — Serves as the data backbone, broadcasting tick-level price action events to the execution logic to ensure synchronization between the regime filter and local price action.
• Money Flow Index (MFI) (entry) — Ensures momentum is sufficiently exhausted (oversold) before entering, filtering out 'expensive' entries.
• Custom 004 Liquidity Map with Drawings (exit) — Targets the nearest 20-period peak (BuyLiq) as the logical take-profit point where liquidity is likely to reside.
• Bullish Pivot Detector (risk) — Provides the definitive trigger through 'bullish_confirmation' and defines the structural stop-loss based on the 'Running Low'.
• Order Block & FVG Detector (confirmation) — Identifies institutional Fair Value Gaps (FVG) or Order Blocks (OB) that represent the structural 'footprint' required for a reversal.
• Bollinger Bands (Standard) (volatility_filter) — Acts as a mean-reversion filter; entries are only permitted when price is in the lower half of the bands (oversold relative to volatility).

Known failure conditions

• The correlation between the tech proxies (AAPL/MSFT/GOOGL) and the traded asset breaks down (e.g., sector rotation).
• Price breaches the 'Running Low' of the Bullish Pivot before reaching the liquidity target (hypothesis of structural support fails).
• MFI stays below 40 for more than 50 bars while price continues to decline (momentum exhaustion failure).

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