TLB-MESA Structural Momentum Strategy
Family: hybrid · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Equities, Forex, Indices · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1
Thesis
The strategy assumes that market structure is best identified by price-action reversals (TLB) rather than time-based candles. By filtering the resulting 'noise-free' trend with Ehlers' signal processing (MESA Stochastic), we can identify high-probability entries into an established trend. The use of Darvas Boxes provides a non-arbitrary stop-loss based on recent consolidation, while Pitchforks exploit the tendency of price to return to a mean median line within a trend channel.
Components
- Three-Line Break (TLB) with MA (regime) — Defines the macro trend regime by filtering out minor price fluctuations, ensuring trades only occur in the direction of structural shifts.
- Unsupported matrix remove_col (direction) — Used here as a basic price-action slope filter (Direction) despite its structural coding errors.
- Ehlers MESA Stochastic (MSTOCH) (entry) — Identifies cyclical entry points by applying a high-pass filter to remove trend bias before calculating momentum.
- Auto Pitchfork (exit) — Provides dynamic targets based on median line theory and fractal pivots.
- Darvas Boxes MetaTrader 5 (risk) — Determines the technical 'floor' or 'ceiling' for stop-loss placement based on consolidation breakouts.
- GHOST OrderFlow Dashboard — DerivEAPro v10 (confirmation) — Provides a final confirmation of order flow sentiment to ensure momentum is backed by volume/sentiment.
Known failure conditions
- Price breaches the Darvas Box boundary opposite to the trade direction immediately after entry.
- TLB 'LinesToBreak' is too high for current volatility, causing the regime to flip only after the move is exhausted.
- The matrix.remove_col error prevents the execution environment from processing the direction filter.
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