Trend-Grip Momentum Gap Strategy
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: high · Asset classes: Equities, Forex, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1
Thesis
Market participants often under-react to the initial price gap in the direction of an established trend, creating a 'drift' effect. By confirming the gap with multi-layered trend structure (Ribbons/Channels) and ensuring momentum is accelerating (TSI), we can capture the continuation of the surge. The GAS Price levels prevent entering during low-volatility 'noise' gaps that lack institutional backing.
Components
- MA Channel (Framework Version) (regime) — Establishes the macro-regime. Trend > 0 indicates a bullish environment where price has recently broken above the high-MA ceiling.
- Moving Average Ribbon (chingc) (direction) — Ensures multi-timeframe alignment. The ribbon must be fanned out and positioned correctly relative to the 100/200 MAs to confirm trend strength.
- MindTheGap (entry) — Acts as the specific trigger. A gap in the direction of the trend represents a sudden influx of liquidity/volatility that often leads to short-term continuation.
- Relative Strength Index (Standard) (exit) — Provides a counter-trend exhaustion signal to lock in profits when the trend becomes over-extended.
- ATR Stop Loss Finder (risk) — Sets dynamic risk levels based on current volatility, ensuring stops are wide enough to breathe but tight enough to preserve capital.
- True Strength Index (TSI) with Signal Line (confirmation) — Double-smoothed momentum filter to ensure the gap movement has underlying structural strength rather than being a low-volume 'exhaustion' gap.
- GAS Price Levels (volatility_filter) — Filters out low-volatility 'squeeze' regimes where gaps are more likely to be noise or immediately filled (mean reversion).
Known failure conditions
- The strategy fails if the gap 'fill rate' exceeds 80% within the first 3 bars, indicating a mean-reverting market.
- Prolonged periods of sideways movement where the MA Channel narrows and the Ribbon intertwines.
- Frequent news-driven overnight gaps that reverse immediately (gap-and-crap).
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