Visible Range Silver Volatility Breakout
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: Equities, Forex, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1
Thesis
The strategy hypothesizes that significant price movements occur when a breakout (SilverTrend) aligns with the overall chart structure (Visible Range) and short-term momentum. By using Bollinger Band-derived volatility (TopTrend) for initial risk and ATR-derived volatility (Chandelier) for trailing, the strategy attempts to capture the 'fat tails' of market distributions while providing a objective exit in mean-reverting phases. The core edge is the combination of static-view price extremes with dynamic volatility stops.
Components
- Price Line and Visible Range High-Low (regime) — Used to define the current market regime based on price's position relative to the visible chart extremes (High/Low).
- Unsupported matrix remove_col (direction) — Acts as a simple momentum filter (Current Close vs Prior Close) based on its plot(close) formula, despite its semantic coding error.
- SilverTrend Sv2 (entry) — Provides the primary entry trigger by identifying price breakouts above/below dynamic levels calculated from recent price extremums.
- Chandelier Exit (exit) — Serves as the secondary trailing exit to lock in profits during extended trends.
- TopTrend (BBands Stop) (risk) — Used exclusively for initial stop-loss placement and calculating position size based on Bollinger Band volatility.
Known failure conditions
- The visible range high/low fluctuates wildly due to zooming or resizing of the chart (UI dependency).
- Market enters a low-volatility 'squeeze' where TopTrend and Chandelier Exit levels overlap frequently.
- The SilverTrend Sv2 lag (i-SSP+6) results in entries occurring after 70% of the move has completed.
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