Volume-Anchored Hilo Trend System

Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: FX, Equity Indices, Commodities · Timeframes: H1 dramas, H4 swing trades

Thesis

Markets trend in a staircase pattern where High Volume Nodes (HVN) act as 're-accumulation' zones. By aligning macro-trend (Sherif Hilo) and volatility-trend (SuperTrend), we can identify high-probability entries at these HVNs. The edge is derived from the convergence of institutional liquidity (Volume Profile) and temporary momentum exhaustion (Bears Power), assuming that volume-anchored levels act as psychological and structural support during trend continuations.

Components

• Sherif Hilo (regime) — Acts as the primary trend filter by identifying the macro-regime based on price's ability to break multi-period extremes.
• SuperTrend (direction) — Provides a secondary, volatility-adjusted directional filter to ensure trade entries align with medium-term momentum.
• Volume Profile + Pivot Levels [ChartPrime] (entry) — Identifies High Volume Nodes (HVN) and Points of Control (POC) to pinpoint high-probability entry 'anchors' where institutional interest is concentrated.
• Auto Fibonacci (exit) — Automates the detection of take-profit targets based on retracement and extension levels relative to recent swing structure.
• Average True Range (NNFX Version) (risk) — Provides a non-directional volatility metric for dynamic stop-loss placement and position sizing.
• Bears Power (confirmation) — Measures internal selling pressure; used to detect temporary exhaustion within an uptrend or strength within a downtrend.

Known failure conditions

• Price consistently fails to react to High Volume Nodes, suggesting volume-based liquidity is irrelevant in the current regime.
• SuperTrend and Sherif Hilo provide conflicting signals for more than 50% of the lookback period, indicating a high-noise environment.
• ATR expansion exceeds 3x its 50-day average, rendering standard Fibonacci extensions statistically insignificant.

Explore the full interactive blueprint, parameter ranges and evidence on WOBR StrategyVerse, or generate this strategy as an MT4/MT5 Expert Advisor with QuantMogul AI Engine.