VPCI Adaptive Efficiency Breakout
Family: trend_following · Regime: trending · Complexity: medium · Asset classes: Equities, Forex, Crypto · Timeframes: H1, H4, D1
Thesis
Market trends are only sustainable if price movement is confirmed by rising volume-weighted participation (VPCI) and occurs during periods of high efficiency (MultiKAMA). By entering on volatility-adjusted breakouts (UTBot) and managing risk relative to institutional averages (VWAP), the strategy exploits the momentum generated by institutional trend-reentry while exiting as soon as the local price structure fails (Gann HiLo).
Components
- Volume Price Confirmation Indicator (VPCI) (regime) — Acts as the primary regime filter, ensuring price trends are supported by volume-weighted momentum (VWMA vs SMA comparison).
- MultiKAMA (TyphooN) (direction) — Provides an adaptive trend baseline that adjusts to market efficiency, filtering out noise in low-volatility periods.
- UTBot Alerts (entry) — Generates the tactical entry trigger based on ATR-trailing stop crossovers, capturing volatility-backed breakouts.
- HiLo_04 (Gann HiLo Activator) (exit) — Serves as the trend-following exit mechanism, closing positions when the short-term price structure (High/Low SMA) is breached.
- VWAP + EMA Cross Pullback (risk) — Calculates the Stop Loss based on ATR and manages position sizing to ensure the trade is not taken at an overextended distance from institutional VWAP.
- Linefill All Visualizer (volatility_filter) — Used to visualize the current price channel; logic requires price to be outside the 'filled' range to ensure entry into a volatility expansion.
Known failure conditions
- Persistent low-volume trending (VPCI remains negative or near zero despite price movement).
- Whipsaw regimes where UTBot and Gann HiLo generate opposing signals within 3 bars.
- Markets where 'Point' size scaling causes VPCI values to become astronomically large or small, breaking logic.
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